Day Trading

will the 30 year treasury bond ever regain its bellwether status ?

i miss the long bond ! yes they brought it back3 yrs ago but it ain’t the same..that lower risk 10 year remains the bellwether. i miss trading bond futures…they’re not as liquid and haven’t been for a decade. trading ten year futures is boring…5 yrs more so… need to bring back the days when bonds moved 3-4-5 points like in the 80’s and early 90’s..with a steep curve, and even at sub-5%, our idiots at treasury still think that financing america through lower 2 yr treasury rates is cheaper than through long bonds. treasury is committing a mistake similiar to those who in the last 4 years financed their mortgages with low teaser rate arms and now face higher long term fixed rates as opposed to having bot homes at long 30 yr fixed costs of 5%. but of course, uncle sam bailed them out last week and froze their rates ( in a free makt economy ???) through the HOPE NOW ALLIANCE ( you gotta be kidding me…HOPE!)

You have to have high inflation in order to get the volatility in bond pricing. Bond prices are elastic in inflation volatility.

I wouldn’t want the long bond. Look at the inflation outlook.

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